Equibase | Free Picks (2024)

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 5

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)

Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $27,400 • Post: 9:02P
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 22 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders

Race Analysis

P#

Horse

Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * RIVER MALBUMOONRVF: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. ALDA RIGHTTRICKS: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. ZIGGY STARDUST: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BAD LINEAGE: Tod ay is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BRADLEY DO RIGHT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.

1

RIVER MALBUMOONRVF

9/5

5/1

9

ALDARIGHTTRICKS

8/1

7/1

8

ZIGGY STARDUST

7/2

8/1

2

BAD LINEAGE

12/1

8/1

6

BRADLEY DO RIGHT

8/1

10/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure

5

GRANDY

5

6/1

Front-runner

73

71

84.4

58.0

47.0

1

RIVER MALBUMOONRVF

1

9/5

Front-runner

78

65

82.4

67.8

63.3

9

ALDARIGHTTRICKS

9

8/1

Front-runner

72

74

63.6

65.8

59.3

6

BRADLEY DO RIGHT

6

8/1

Front-runner

75

67

61.8

65.2

55.2

8

ZIGGY STARDUST

8

7/2

Stalker

70

71

58.0

64.4

57.4

3

EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL

3

9/2

Trailer

60

62

36.0

56.8

44.3

2

BAD LINEAGE

2

12/1

Trailer

72

67

21.2

65.0

58.0

4

LOVE IS WICKED

4

20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66

64

50.0

55.8

42.8

7

COURT TUDOR

7

30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60

61

48.8

51.6

34.6

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 2

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)

Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $12,200 • Post: 12:25
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 22, 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 22 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders

Race Analysis

P#

Horse

Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. AMERICAN NIGHTMARE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN NIGHTMARE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LUCKY ANDY: Ho rse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ORO DE MORO MORO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CUMBER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.

5

AMERICAN NIGHTMARE

5/1

5/1

2

LUCKY ANDY

2/1

6/1

3

ORO DE MORO MORO

12/1

7/1

4

CUMBER

9/5

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure

5

AMERICAN NIGHTMARE

5

5/1

Front-runner

85

67

62.4

60.8

53.3

4

CUMBER

4

9/5

Alternator/Stalker

77

70

68.8

64.6

59.6

3

ORO DE MORO MORO

3

12/1

Alternator/Stalker

81

73

63.2

66.2

61.7

2

LUCKY ANDY

2

2/1

Alternator/Stalker

80

73

61.0

70.6

67.6

1

HAD RIGHT

1

7/2

Alternator/Stalker

72

67

59.2

67.8

58.8

6

RUBINSTEIN

6

8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

79

55

59.0

53.2

41.7

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $141000 Class Rating: 101

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $100,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE APRIL 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN



RECOMMENDEDCHOICES

Equibase | Free Picks (1)


# 2 NOT SO CLOSE 7/2

# 6 SISTER LOU ANN 3/1

# 4 WATCH THIS BIRDIE 4/1

I've got to go with NOT SO CLOSE. Appears to be the type to be helped on Lasix here. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Casse have shown very solid results recently. This trainer has the best ROI in this group of horses with entries racing at this distance and surface.SISTER LOU ANN - This pick will feel the med change - on Lasix today. As of late Joseph has provided investors with a very good winning percentage with horses running in turf route races.WATCH THIS BIRDIE - Looks very good against this group and ought to be one of the front-runners. Has recorded reliable speed figures in turf route races in the past.

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Equibase | Free Picks (2)

Lone Star Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:59pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,500 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Equibase | Free Picks (3)Equibase | Free Picks (4)Equibase | Free Picks (5)Equibase | Free Picks (6)

#3 BLINGO (ML=8/1)
#9 EUROROCKSTAR (ML=5/2)
#7 TEXAS PRADO (ML=8/1)

BLINGO - I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a comeback. Last ran at Lone Star Park and finished eighth. Reviewing his Past Performances, I see he was close at the wire, within 5 of the winner. EUROROCKSTAR - After the race aboard this horse on May 19th, the jock is going to be acquainted with the gelding much better. Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be favorable. TEXAS PRADO - Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. This gelding is in good form, having run a strong race on June 8th, finishing fourth. Recent speed figures show solid pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RECKLESS RED (ML=7/2), #8 OZZIES WINGS Y G (ML=5/1), #5 SUMMER HELP (ML=6/1),

RECKLESS RED - In the last event this entrant finished tenth. Doesn't look good for his chances in today's event. Somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last out at Lone Star Park at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this racer will improve too much in today's event. OZZIES WINGS Y G - Finished third in his most recent race with a quite unimpressive speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. SUMMER HELP - He's almost certainly going to get baked at the front. Have to put a question mark next to the last speed fig since it was acquired on a track listed as good. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was mediocre when compared with today's class figure.

Equibase | Free Picks (7)GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - EUROROCKSTAR - Coming off his last race with the top speed figure of 79 at Lone Star Park. He is the gelding to beat today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #3 BLINGO to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,7,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,7,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 74

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.



RECOMMENDEDCHOICES

Equibase | Free Picks (8)


# 8 MC EAGLE 4/1

# 3 SHE LOOKS POLITICAL 5/2

# 5 JESS CASH PLEASE 3/1

I have to consider MC EAGLE here.SHE LOOKS POLITICAL - Should be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Tough to pass on this filly with Martinez in the irons.JESS CASH PLEASE - Is a solid contender based on figures posted lately under today's conditions. Cruz has an excellent return on investment over the past 30 days (+22) which ought to help gamblers with this pick.

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Equibase | Free Picks (9)

Pleasanton - Race #4 - Post: 3:19pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: Equibase | Free Picks (10)Equibase | Free Picks (11)Equibase | Free Picks (12)Equibase | Free Picks (13)

#7 RUNNIN ON PROMISES (ML=6/1)
#4 KNIGHTWITHLOUIS (ML=5/2)
#1 CORACORACORA (ML=15/1)

RUNNIN ON PROMISES - Rider and trainer do well when they work together. Espinoza and Bonde have been steady together. Looking at the past performances on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a serious look at this horse. Ranked number 1 in EPS (earnings per start). Another notice that this equine outclasses this field. Has a decent chance to break maiden changing over to the main track right here. KNIGHTWITHLOUIS - O'Neill tried her against the males last time out. This should be a good spot. I really like that recent effort on May 26th at Golden Gate Fields where she finished second. The last speed figure of 64 is the highest last race speed rating in the group. CORACORACORA - The rider and trainer combination here have a high winning percentage when they work together. A 1st timer with this trainer. Wright wins a 27 percent of the time in these here situations.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CHATTY LEROYBROWN (ML=9/2), #3 BEACHLEY (ML=5/1), #5 SURF STAR (ML=5/1),

CHATTY LEROYBROWN - This filly hasn't had any positive efforts in short distance contests in the last 60 days. BEACHLEY - I prognosticate disappointment for this horse in this contest. SURF STAR - Not probable for this horse to do much running with no success lately in a sprint event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #7 RUNNIN ON PROMISES on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,4,7] with [1,4,7] with [1,2,3,4,7] with [1,2,3,4,7] Total Cost: $36

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Equibase | Free Picks (2024)

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